Posted on 02/01/2016 3:07:17 PM PST by markomalley
A search shows that nobody's opened up a live thread for tonight's caucuses. So here goes.
Predictions? For both the GOP and Dem nominations?
Eyewitness Accounts? See any funny business going on?
Name the last time a real conservative lost the general election.
That is YUGGE FACTOR
The way FoxNews reports this it looks like the D’s reward 52 delegates overall for the candidates but only take the votes from Dem IA state delegates which is around 1,300.
Again, weird.
Don’t bother with him Cincywife the other night gave him a thread full of facts. He just wants to ... well you know.
Here’s the rub...
High voter turnout was supposed to benefit Trump. The Evangelical vote, as per entrance polls, was split almost equally three ways.
Aside from that, I saw earlier where Cruz was winning more moderate counties (former Romney territory) and Trump was winning some smaller Evangelical counties, counties the Cruz campaign thought they had to win.
A Cruz campaign spokesman was interviewed live earlier, quite perplexed that Cruz was winning with high voter turnout.
I’ll look at this stuff more tomorrow, but as it stands now, nothing was right...not polling, not historical demographics and not turnout models.
Good question. Barry Goldwater.
I don’t think I will bother responding to you, for the same reason that I don’t play checkers with pigeons. Enjoy your victory tonight. I hope you are right, but I sincerely doubt it.
They have it as Bernie 56-38 in NH... and 62-32 Clinton in SC. Long way to go for the Dems, too.
We will have to agree to disagree and just be happy for the huge turnout.
but his supporters are left with a huge disappointment.... I really think his candidacy is more important to many of them than it is to him....he can just get on his private plane and go home to his many mansions.... his supporters don’t have that luxury
Indeed.
I blame Seamus for the problem. I blame Seamus for everything.
He’s my own, personal Emmanuel Goldstein.
Trump lost.
let that sink in. He needed to win to maintain the ‘winner’ image. That won’t be won back in New Hampshire.
The south doesn’t really care what folks up north do. They vote liberal most of the time any way. A win in NH isn’t necessarily a victory to the SEC states. -— Heck, NH doesn’t even have a good football program. (that bit was mostly sarcastic)
but as it stands now, nothing was right
That gives me hope
It may change by a few points but NH is not going for Cruz or Rubio. Iowa is a short bump. Later as others drop out the polls will begin to tighten.
Cruz got plenty of time on FNC. In an election, the guy that won almost always speaks last on the night of victory.
And be happy that the conservative message is dominating this entire election.
Republicans — all of them — should thank Trump for moving the entire debate to the right. Building a wall. Stopping Muslim invasion. Nobody was talking about these issues. Trump took all the heat. Now ALL the candidates can run to the right.
Meanwhile, Hillary tonight just came out in favor of single payer universal healthcare. She’s got to run to the left.
Sanders will break AlGores internet tomorrow. He has enthusiasm behind him—Hillary not so much.
Voter fraud? Call Microsoft, there’s an app for that.
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