I went back over the IOWA results for the last several years and realized one thing. Winning there does not correlate directly with winning the nomination. It does give supporters a boost of spirits, and maybe a boost in donations to the winner.
If Trump and Cruz finish 1-2, as the latest polls says, they will each gain approximately 7 +/- first round votes at the convention.
When I saw the picture of Trump with Huckabee and Santorum at his debate alternative event I had a perfect caption for after the general in November.
“The winners of the last three Iowa Caucus presidential campaigns, none of whom went on to win the nomination.”
âThe winners of the last three Iowa Caucus presidential campaigns, none of whom went on to win the nomination.â
Different with Trump, Huck and Santorum were not winners of New Hampshire or South Carolina.......Trump is a game changer.
Hey, in the wintertime, a boost of spirits works for me!
Truthfully Iowa is a distraction. The real race starts in NH. I’ll be glad to see Iowa in the rear view mirror.
Silly. Neither Santorum or Huckabee led ANYTHING but IA, certainly neither led nationally at any time, nor did they have 30 point leads in state after state.
I don’t see a Trump loss, but if it occurs, and he and Cruz each walk away with about 8 delegates, it’s still meaningless because Trump wins the next 10, takes home about 300 delegates, and unless Cruz is second in every one (and he won’t be second in NH), his delegate count will be miniscule.