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The Best Pollster In Iowa Just Released Its Final Survey - How Accurate Has It Been?
FiveThirtyEight ^ | January 30, 2016 | Harry Enten

Posted on 01/31/2016 12:04:23 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

click here to read article


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To: CottonBall

See my about page.


141 posted on 01/31/2016 10:09:41 AM PST by LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget (God punishes Conservatives by making them argue with fools: Go Trump!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Go Canada!


142 posted on 01/31/2016 10:33:29 AM PST by jospehm20
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To: mac_truck; LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget; Cincinatus' Wife
Much to her credit, CW has always advocated for her point of view in a civil manner...and I say this as someone who does not currently support her choice for President. There’s no reason to call for her banishment.

As someone who has found CW's 4 a.m. posts in favor of Rick Perry and Gov. Walker surpising, even amazing, in anyone not a fulltime campaign worker (and said so, saying further that I thought she was one), and as a disappointed former Rick Santorum supporter and now a Sen. Cruz supporter ...... bump.

No need for people to go nuclear in here except when an obvious 'Rat troll or gay/Communist Mau-Mau or Stormfront troll is spotted, and we're a long way from that in talking about preferred candidates in a surprisingly candidate-rich, insurgent-rich Republican primary season.

I'm a lot more like Mr. Wonderful than one of those rabid Ewoks over at DU, but I wouldn't bite CW for not supporting Ted Cruz or Rick Santorum. Our midpack candidates are light-years better than the other bunch's best (get a net), and the leaders are better still, and might harbor (yes, I dream of it) another Ronaldus Magnus (PBUH).

Scripsi, scripsi.

143 posted on 01/31/2016 4:59:37 PM PST by lentulusgracchus ("If America was a house , the Left would root for the termites." - Greg Gutierrez)
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To: JediJones

You have to do it with a head shot. Body shots won’t do it.

The little idiot just said CW only posts anti-Trump stuff.

What a maroon. Maybe that’s because she is for Ted Cruz and still sane.

I don’t reply to anyone whose posts reveal their IQ’s to be below 80...it wouldn’t be right.


144 posted on 01/31/2016 5:21:20 PM PST by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

That story was interesting. Everyone should click on it.

It is revealing of what we already kinda knew and certainly suspected.

The Donald does not like women or see them as equals.


145 posted on 01/31/2016 5:30:17 PM PST by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: nfldgirl

Yes, what you say is true.

But CW has been patient, factual and polite while the other creature can only exceed herself in nastiness.

CW should stop answering him/her.


146 posted on 01/31/2016 5:34:27 PM PST by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: nfldgirl

A gentle reminder: you don’t have to be here.


147 posted on 01/31/2016 5:35:33 PM PST by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: Mangia E Statti Zitto

Oh, it is sad how the Trump people simply CANNOT refrain from personal attacks. I have been the recipient of many.

It will be hard to see those people as friends in the future, whatever happens.


148 posted on 01/31/2016 5:52:29 PM PST by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: WHBates

Good analysis.


149 posted on 01/31/2016 5:56:54 PM PST by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

You might not want to count to heavily on those votes going to Cruz just yet

I would not be surprised if Rubio wins, or finishes a strong 2nd, tonight.

According to polling a plurality of Iowa voters are either undecided or soft in their support for any candidate.

Religious voters play a significant role in Iowa politics.They faithfully show up on Caucus night.

Religious voters have demonstrated in the past a distaste for candidate who engage in the bare knuckle politics Cruz/Trump have recently engaged in.

Historically polling in Iowa has been rather inaccurate. Iowa almost always produces a surprise result.

Recent polling in Iowa has been showing strong movement to Rubio. The trends in the latest polls shows movement away from Cruz to Rubio.

Rubio has gone full out of for the religious votes. His ads spend a lot of time with him talking about his religious faith. His stump speech spend a lot of time on his faith. Rubio is a good con-man. Like most people withou any core principals, his is good at selling what ever he is talking about at any one time.

Team Cruz switched from targeting Trump to going after Rubio on Friday.


150 posted on 02/01/2016 10:33:24 AM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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