I have the feeling it’ll be over by 3/1, Super Tuesday. Would be surprised to see it go to 3/15 when Ohio votes.
How many of the candidates will have a dime left by then? SuperPACs notwithstanding. The billionaires who fund those are typically very smart people who know when to cut their losses.
I think it’ll take the winner-take-all primaries for the leading candidate to pull away.
A big winner in Ga, Tx and some other states would change that. But proportional primaries make it hard for someone to get a strong lead.