Trump, on the other hand, attracts some Democrats in the Northeast, and doesn't repel any Republicans, except the country clubbers/Wall Street types.
I didn't say I was worried. I think Bloomberg, at best, would siphon off maybe 5-10 percent of the vote, and more would come from the Dem nominee than the Republican.
You REALLY think anyone on the Republican side that likes Bloomberg and is not thrilled with the idea of rounding up and deporting 11 million people (like the entire liberal wing of the GOP) would vote for Trump over Bloomberg?
...anyone on the Dem side who likes him would vote for Hillary or Sanders first.
I think there are a lot of people on the Dem side that will not vote for Hillary if they have a "progressive" alternative, and I think there are a lot of people on the Dem side that will not vote for a socialist if they have a more "moderate" alternative.
Trump, on the other hand, attracts some Democrats in the Northeast, and doesn't repel any Republicans, except the country clubbers/Wall Street types.
Most of the NE Republicans are more moderate than conservative, and as a group they certainly will not be on board with Trump's immigration plan. If they are given someone for whom they have voted before, someone they see as being between the extremes of Trump and Hillary/Bernie, I think a lot of them would vote for them.
I think Bloomberg, at best, would siphon off maybe 5-10 percent of the vote, and more would come from the Dem nominee than the Republican.
Oh, I don't think Bloomberg would have a chance of winning the election. But I think he COULD have a chance of picking up 2-3 normally Dem NE states - collecting just enough electoral votes to prevent anyone from getting to 270. That's when it would get interesting.