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To: SquarePants
No, it's about half of the time... 3 of 7 since 1972

Republicans

1976: Gerald Ford (45%) and Ronald Reagan (43%)
1980: George H. W. Bush (32%), Ronald Reagan (30%), Howard Baker (15%), John Connally (9%), Phil Crane (7%), John B. Anderson (4%), and Bob Dole (2%)
1984: Ronald Reagan (unopposed) - incumbent
1988: Bob Dole (37%), Pat Robertson (25%), George H. W. Bush (19%), Jack Kemp (11%), and Pete DuPont (7%)
1992: George H. W. Bush (unopposed) - incumbent
1996: Bob Dole (26%), Pat Buchanan (23%), Lamar Alexander (18%), Steve Forbes (10%), Phil Gramm (9%), Alan Keyes (7%), Richard Lugar (4%), and Morry Taylor (1%)
2000: George W. Bush (41%), Steve Forbes (31%), Alan Keyes (14%), Gary Bauer (9%), John McCain (5%), and Orrin Hatch (1%)
2004: George W. Bush (unopposed) - incumbent
2008: Mike Huckabee (34%), Mitt Romney (25%), Fred Thompson (13%), John McCain (13%), Ron Paul (10%), Rudy Giuliani (4%), and Duncan Hunter (1%)
2012: Rick Santorum (25%), Mitt Romney (25%), Ron Paul (21%), Newt Gingrich (13%), Rick Perry (10%), Michele Bachmann (5%), and Jon Huntsman (0.6%)

'76, '96, and '00, Iowa got the winner correct
'84, '92, and '04, it was an unopposed incumbent
'80, '88, '08, and '12, they were "wrong", with the eventual winner placing 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 2nd.

54 posted on 01/14/2016 7:14:16 AM PST by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Teacher317
In '88, GHW Bush had only 19 percent in Iowa... in'08, McCain only had 13 percent in Iowa... so realistically, it is likely only Trump, Cruz, or Rubio. Nobody else is close to 13 (Carson 7, Bush 3). Anything else would be unprecedented.

So let's drop the rest of the field, trounce Rubio, and have a decent race between two very good choices!!

(Seriously... Who here wouldn't relish the final several debates being just between Trump and Cruz, and maybe Rubio. That would be sooooo nice to watch!)

57 posted on 01/14/2016 7:24:10 AM PST by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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