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Economist: GOP may win 47 states in general election
The Hill ^ | 10 January 2016 | Bradford Richardson

Posted on 01/10/2016 8:25:59 AM PST by Rockitz

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To: Defiant

Thanks, I’ve thought long and hard over this. Earlier this year, even before Trump, I was posting how the path to victory is the WHITE VOTE, as opposed to trying to pander to enough minorities to put together some kind of coalition to win. It’s still on my “About” page.

The 2014 elections in Texas convinced me of that. The Republicans here did not give a crap about pandering to minorities. Our now Lt. Governor, Dan Patrick, ran ads in the Primary calling Illegal Immigration an invasion, and (unlike Romney with his ‘self-deportation’ plan) STOOD BY IT against the Democrats.

The results: Republicans won 75% of the White vote and still 40-45% of the Hispanic vote (seems that they weren’t too hot on this invasion either). That gave Republicans 20 POINT VICTORIES, all of them, in the year that the Democrats had PROMISED that Texas would turn purple. Same with every other state in the South.

Get anywhere near those percentages of White votes in states that do have a huge Hispanic populations and it is GAME OVER for the Democrats. I’m convinced they know that too...which is why they are desperately trying to stop Trump...even going as far as not attacking Cruz, for the time being, until Trump is dispatched.


41 posted on 01/10/2016 9:41:21 AM PST by BobL (Who cares? He's going to build a wall and stop this invasion.)
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To: Rockitz
It's Trump or Cruz for the GOP nomination.

None of the other candidates have showed me anything.

42 posted on 01/10/2016 9:43:21 AM PST by SamAdams76
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To: Rockitz

Only 47???

Didn’t King Obama declare that there are 57???


43 posted on 01/10/2016 10:10:43 AM PST by Terry L Smith
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To: Rockitz

RR was a landslide. TRUMP is a giant TSUNAMI. Waves of flood waters over the country to clean out the mess of the previous landslide, the corruption, criminals taking all the trash back into the waters of the deep blue sea. This country is about to see something like we ain’t never seen before!

GO TRUMP/CRUZ
Make AMERICA ours again


44 posted on 01/10/2016 10:11:18 AM PST by V K Lee (u TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP to TRIUMPH Follow the lead MAKE AMERICA GREAT)
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To: Rockitz

I like Arthur Laffer, but he is smoking crack if he thinks Jeb Bush could carry 47 states in the highly unlikely event should he be the nominee.


45 posted on 01/10/2016 10:19:25 AM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (Trump or Cruz in 2016. No others need apply.)
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To: BobL

What I like about Trump is he appeals to blacks. Not just a few lonely outcasts, but the average working stiff who is tired of Mexicans getting all the jobs. To them, Trump is NY, cool, brash and they like him. The Republican politicians, even Cruz, seem to them as pasty, stuffy white folks. They don’t warm to them. Carson, of course, could pick up some black votes, but even he might get hit with the Uncle Tom label and not do as well as you would think. Trump, people like him, blacks, hispanics and blue collar whites. Only the Moslems hate him. Which is good. Anyone who they like (Bush, Kasich) is not going to be a good candidate.


46 posted on 01/10/2016 10:29:19 AM PST by Defiant (RINOs are leaders of a party without voters. Trump/Cruz are leaders of voters without a party.)
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To: Rockitz

California, Washington, Oregon, New York, New Jersey, Colorado... Sorry, not going to happen.

I see very few blue states flipping, and a couple of purple up for the dems (Virginia has a very strong anti GOP vibe now).

This is at best mistaken, at worst propaganda.


47 posted on 01/10/2016 10:40:37 AM PST by redgolum
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To: Defiant

Agree completely. When I was analyzing the 2014 Texas election, getting the black vote wasn’t on the radar, but ANY IMPROVEMENT in their votes will have a HUGE IMPACT in many key states, as many of those states don’t even have a significant Hispanic vote...which is another aspect...

Hispanics matter in Florida somewhat (Cubans don’t count), in Colorado and New Mexico. But the VAST MAJORITY of them are in states like Texas and especially California, where they make absolutely no difference. So if you’re going to turn off 5 Republican Whites to pick up 1 Hispanic in a key state, are you really doing yourself any favors?

(and by “turn-off”, I don’t mean the they’ll vote Democrat, but instead they won’t be excited to vote Republican, and just may not vote, if it means taking off from work, for example).


48 posted on 01/10/2016 10:49:14 AM PST by BobL (Who cares? He's going to build a wall and stop this invasion.)
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To: Rockitz

We will not win 47 states.

For sure Not: californication, oregon, washington,,colorado, new york, massachusettes, maine, ilinois, rhode island.


49 posted on 01/10/2016 12:39:45 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: BobL
The results: Republicans won 75% of the White vote

If the GOP wins 75% of the white vote, the Dems are finished up and down the ballot. Even in solidly blue states like NY and CA.

50 posted on 01/10/2016 2:03:09 PM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: Rockitz

Disagree. Hillary is good for a minimum of 20 states and 175 EVs.


51 posted on 01/10/2016 2:47:56 PM PST by CatOwner (Trump + Cruz greater than 50% = GOPe on suicide watch)
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To: Rockitz

52 posted on 01/10/2016 3:37:02 PM PST by Libloather (Embrace the suck)
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To: Rockitz
Now, IF the GOP should win by a landslide as predicted, what will these Republicans do with their new majority? I mean besides pee away the last beat opportunity to correct the course Obozo and his minions have taken this country?

We need a POTUS with guts and determination and a “take no prisoners” attitude to kick these RINO scum in the butt. We also need to fumigate the entire Executive Branch to remove all traces of the Obama (and Clinton) administration — everywhere. To do this, I recommend the Marines with small arms, satchel charges, rocket launchers, and flamethrowers. Then we close all the mosques, deport all the Imams, the Muslim migrant scum and converts back to the Middle East dung piles they call home. There, majority of problems solved.

53 posted on 01/10/2016 4:44:40 PM PST by MasterGunner01 ( Barbara Daly Danko)
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To: Rockitz

If there are only three holdouts, I would say HI, WA, and VT.


54 posted on 01/10/2016 4:56:56 PM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Secret Agent Man

Can add MD and VA to the list too


55 posted on 01/10/2016 4:58:23 PM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Rockitz
I doubt it. 47 states? Everything but three of Maryland, Vermont, New York, Rhode Island, Illinois, Hawaii, California, New Jersey, Connecticut, Delaware, and Massachusetts? Winning Oregon, Minnesota, and Washington?

I don't think so.

56 posted on 01/10/2016 5:01:34 PM PST by Darren McCarty (Cruz in 2016 - No Trump. No Jeb.)
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To: Theodore R.

I agree with you on HI and VT as two of the three. Either NY, RI or MA would probably be the other. (Of course with DC as a given.)


57 posted on 01/10/2016 5:01:52 PM PST by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: nomad

The Ryan primary is not until September.


58 posted on 01/10/2016 5:48:01 PM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Rockitz; Norm Lenhart

Hey, Arthur, I’ll take that bet. The GOP-e has a habit of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. If the GOP does win, it sure as heck is NOT going to be 47 states.


59 posted on 01/10/2016 8:56:57 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Terrorism, the thing that shall not be named by the MSM)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Guess who belongs in cages first?


60 posted on 01/10/2016 9:06:17 PM PST by Norm Lenhart (Existential Cage Theory - An idea whose time has come)
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