“...Nationally Hillary leads Trump by 7...Hillary tied with Cruz...”
This is why I can not place any faith in these polls. There is no way that Hillary polls that well, unless the poll is delicately and intentionally structured in her favor. What I hear from those on both the right and left in my travels is that she is an embarrassment at *best*. Much worse is usually said.
I don’t meet people that like Hillary either.
But almost every head to head poll has Hillary beating Trump
Trump is usually behind Cruz, Rubio, and Carson when polled head to head with Hillary.
I can’t explain it. I just know what the polls say.
And I have never said anything about the polls showing Trump up in the Republican primary (nationally) being wrong.
Go to RealClearPolitics and look at the head to head polls.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html