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Polls may actually underestimate Trump's support, study finds
dailypress.com ^ | David Lauter

Posted on 12/21/2015 5:29:30 AM PST by RoosterRedux

click here to read article


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To: usafa92
Cruz is going to win by biblical margins. His campaign is right on schedule, and he already has 40 states in the bag.

/ s

41 posted on 12/21/2015 7:16:25 AM PST by going hot (Happiness is a Momma Deuce)
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To: RoosterRedux

I have suspected for some time that the polls are underestimating Trump’s support. I believe aside from a possible loss in Iowa he will run the rest of the table with ease.


42 posted on 12/21/2015 7:16:28 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: jpsb

Cruz’s only strategy, as should be anyone’s who wants a future in politics, is to stay on Trump’s good side
My hats it

How hard can that be

When Trump says he gets good people working for him what he means is he gets good people working for him

You cannot BS your way through creating to the extent he has


43 posted on 12/21/2015 7:22:59 AM PST by stanne
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To: Georgia Girl 2

New meaning of the Silent Majority: “We are telling people we are voting for Trump!”


44 posted on 12/21/2015 7:24:19 AM PST by HarleyLady27 ("THE FORCE AWAKENS"!!! TRUMP; TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP 100%....)
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To: HarleyLady27

Yes we are pretty vocal about Trump. Our whole family on both sides is voting for Trump and our friends. My 93 year old Mom says all her girlfriends are voting for Trump.


45 posted on 12/21/2015 7:32:04 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: FerociousRabbit

‘’No newscast is complete without a Trump segment.’’

Since Day One when he announced he has looked presidential with his imposing presence, demeanor, strength, etc. That has to help so much. A little like dressing for the job you want and not the job you have. If you act presidential that will be in the psyche of everyone who sees you.


46 posted on 12/21/2015 7:32:06 AM PST by MayflowerMadam
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To: RoosterRedux
Is anyone polling Independents and Democrats about Trump?

I suspect that, at least in the states that let you declare your party affiliation on election day, there will be considerable crossover to vote Republican. Some of this will be by idiot democrats trying an "operation chaos" type stunt, but many more because they really support Trump.

Of course, a lot of those people won't necessarily be willing to "admit" their vote publicly, so the polls will understate Trump's support.

47 posted on 12/21/2015 7:33:39 AM PST by Johnny B.
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To: hoosiermama; Liz; Albion Wilde; seekthetruth; Kaslin; unkus; mazda77; vette6387; MinuteGal; ...

Trump is the only name mentioned by anyone I talk to regarding the election Trump has support across the board even with Union Democrats I know. Everyone is beyond FED UP with DC.


48 posted on 12/21/2015 7:35:29 AM PST by ExTexasRedhead
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To: stanne

“Soaring!”


49 posted on 12/21/2015 7:35:36 AM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

Same here. Even in the blue NYC and NJ....folks there were ALL IN, for Trump.

Here in TX, I hear the same thing. Friends/family who used to love Hellary (blehhhhcch) are now for Trump. They see what a disaster 0’Commie has been.....for ALL.


50 posted on 12/21/2015 7:38:09 AM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: RoosterRedux
It's called "hostile field" polling, and is very much related to the "Bradley effect" studied in California politics. IMO Trump's real support is significantly understated.

IMO Trump will get about 40% of the GOP in the early primaries and about 50% on Super Tuesday, then sweep to an early nomination win.

51 posted on 12/21/2015 8:26:41 AM PST by Thud
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To: Daniel Ramsey
Same here, my friends will gladly lie to any polling just to see how much it messes them up.

I once answered a robo-poll, told them I was a black lesbian Democrat who was voting Republican.

52 posted on 12/21/2015 8:44:23 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (Big government is attractive to those who think that THEY will be in control of it.)
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To: RoosterRedux

I wonder if the media “once” considered Trump unelectable against the Hildabeast and have given him great air time to suck the oxygen out of Cruz and others. I suspect they have made a mistake and have in effect given a great adversary life on the cheap.

ps I am a Cruzman but will have no problem voting for Trump.


53 posted on 12/21/2015 8:57:41 AM PST by cpdiii (Deckhand, Roughneck, Geologist, Pilot, Pharmacist THE CONSTITUTION IS WORTH DYING FOR)
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To: RoosterRedux
When I first read that Trump does better on online polls than phone polls, my first thought was that in certain social circles, people may have politically incorrect conservative views and support politically incorrect candidates, but be afraid to admit to it in person, even over an "anonymous" telephone poll.

Seems like this study confirms it.

54 posted on 12/21/2015 9:03:48 AM PST by ek_hornbeck
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To: Amntn; onyx; RoosterRedux; DoughtyOne; Jane Long; entropy12; HarleyLady27; mkjessup

You can feel the TRUMP momentum goes with his numbers!

His supporters are having a party and have had one nearly immediately, after he started really opening his mouth, and out of it has come everything we thought ourselves and wanted to say out loud, in public!

He has covered all corners of the earth against the betrayals Americans have endured, and smothered every betrayer with his verbal blasts. And, it’s SELLING across the board.

Let the others stay in the weeds on policy and process— that’s their only card to play, anyway. The nation is suffering fools at the head, and TRUMP is the only DRAGON SLAYER out there.

You will not beat a FORCE of nature using the old playbook.

Thanks be to GOD. The truth is TRUMP is rocking the under belly of voter opinion, among those who can not confess out loud that they too are all-in for TRUMP.

Let the polls roar on, as they will, but underneath there lay additional and UNCOUNTED support for TRUMP.

TRUMP, 2016


55 posted on 12/21/2015 9:25:20 AM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: RitaOK

T T T T ! ! ! ©

56 posted on 12/21/2015 9:28:16 AM PST by onyx
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To: Stentor

Oh, RATS! I would have LOVED to have seen that! Thank you for sharing that little synopsis, Cuomo in full melt down. HA! How DELICIOUS!!


57 posted on 12/21/2015 9:29:50 AM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: RitaOK

crowd size is ALWAYS an INDICATION of SUPPORT and I’m tired of MSM trying to tell us that crowd turn out’s do not materialize into votes! LOL.

Huh?

You mean, traveling to a huge venue, standing in line and subjecting one’s self to searches are less complicated and torturous than voting?

Give us all a break!


58 posted on 12/21/2015 9:31:59 AM PST by onyx
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To: Paradox

“While I would support him in the general, I am a little embarrassed to admit to others that I would”


A situation which may indicate internet polls to be closer to reality.


59 posted on 12/21/2015 9:32:02 AM PST by moehoward
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To: Thud

I hear that until TRUMP reaches the 50% mark, he is advantaged by so many in the field, and once the 50 is reached, it is SOOO OVER for the field at that point.

Except for those bouncing up and down trying to perform well enough for Donald to pick them for his ticket.

I believe he will use some of them for appointments, and pick a sage with stellar credentials in international and foreign relations and familiar with military strategic planning.

He does not need a conservative politician with baggage on his ticket.


60 posted on 12/21/2015 9:34:32 AM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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