By August, when people started to see Clinton as a phony, and his numbers dropped to where Bush was catching up, guess who shows up to the party again? Perot, to get that 20 percent that kept Bush from overtaking Clinton. Clinton wins with 43 percent.
If a talk show host saw something in Clinton in January 92 that said he would be President, he would have seen it in Huey Long, Gary Hartpence, or Dick Gephardt, too. There was no difference between any of them at that stage of their contests. Clinton was simply the one who had a vote splitting plan that worked, and the one who was running against a feckless GOPe liar who had pissed off his own voters enough that they wanted an alternative.
I am sure you know best.