You’re correct. Using your numbers, even remembering about 15% of the delegates are uncommitted “superdelegates” it belongs to Trump and Cruz to work it out. The fear than Jeb and supporters in the RNC can work something out here is baseless at this point. Personally, while things can change dramatically, I don’t see Jeb rallying to 40% which is probably where he’d need to get.
I forgot about the “superdelegates”. Now you have me worried.
Who chooses the “Superdelegates”? Is there any chance that they are just GOPe chosen votes for Bush?