“A short-term border violation can never be a pretext for an attack” - Turkey’s Erdogan in 2012
He should have followed his own words.
Russia can easily shoot down Turkish aircraft violating Syrian air-space without danger of engaging the NATO.
There is also the matter of the Turkish shrine to Suleyman Shah which Edrogan thinks he can pick up and move anywhere he wants inside Syria. It would be a shame if something bad were to happen to it.
There are literally dozens of ways Russia can provoke a shooting war without “attacking” Turkey if it wants to...which is what I predict is going to happen.