I don't know about that. My bet is that in that particular neighborhood the correlation of forces would be quite adverse to the Russians.
This is Turkey's front yard.
And it's a long, long way to the Russian frontiers.
Ivan may have superior forces overall, but they're operating at the end of a very long tail, with little experience executing these sorts of military adventures.
The Grunts in the Russian Military were born after the Soviet Union collapsed but their officiers, or at least the highest ranking ones were trained in the Soviet Military Academies back in the ‘80s.