[Zhang Fei]

True, but Italy could still put the Black Sea fleet one the bottom with modest losses to themselves. The Italians are actually fairly competent. (Personal knowledge.)

While that may be true, the big risk is that Russia will use its trump card. A limited nuclear war over Turkey is not a pleasant thought.

[Paul R.]

While that may be true, the big risk is that Russia will use its trump card. A limited nuclear war over Turkey is not a pleasant thought.

Especially since, most likely, the prevailing winds will blow a lot of the fallout straight to Russia. (One can investigate further at the site windfinder.com.)