[HamiltonJay]

Even without Paris, Carson’s collapse, will mostly benefit Trump.... He’ll wind up with I would assume at least 2/3 of Carson’s supporters in the end.

Paris guarantees Trump will top 50% shortly and never look back.

Next month it will realistically be down to Trump, Cruz and Rubio, and trump will have more support than the other 2 combined.... Big money/GOPe will keep trying to prop up Rubio, but it will be of limited effect.

[ratzoe]

Even without Paris, Carson’s collapse, will mostly benefit Trump.... He’ll wind up with I would assume at least 2/3 of Carson’s supporters in the end.

That's my feeling also, Trump and Carson are both beltway outsiders, thus they appeal to the masses fed up with inside-the-beltway crowd. You like bold-n-brassy, you're a Trump supporter; quiet and thoughtful, you're a Carson supporter. Neither is a politician in the classic sense, that's their appeal. One of them drops, the other will get a majority of that candidate's supporters. IMO