Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Theodore R.
"Actually, KY and LA governorships have never to my knowledge been a reliable forecast for the presidential election the following year."

KY 20 years out, a pretty damn good corollary...


31 posted on 11/17/2015 6:07:53 AM PST by StAnDeliver (Own it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies ]


To: StAnDeliver

Thanks, I just know it had little bearing in KY from 1979 to 1991. I wouldn’t put much stock into such governor’s elections here, but maybe you are right for 2016.


32 posted on 11/17/2015 7:38:40 AM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies ]

To: StAnDeliver; Theodore R.; Impy; Republican Wildcat; BillyBoy

Yes and no. The problem is that KY has only voted on two* occasions for the GOP Gubernatorial nominee since after 1967.

*The likelihood is that the 1995 race was stolen by Paul Patton over Larry Forgy (so that would be 3 times). No indication for 1996 (a winnable race, but Dole wasn’t the right challenger).

Patton was effectively unchallenged in 1999 (the GOP candidate was a desultory flake that they gave no support to). That was no indication for 2000.

2003 marked 36 years since a GOP victory, and that was almost a given for Dr. Fletcher. Had the corrupt scumbag Democrat Stumbo not waged complete war from the AG’s office to trump up charges against Fletcher (Fletcher daring to hire GOP state workers ! The horror !), he would’ve won reelection in 2007, so this was a stacked deck (though I would say so was the stacked deck fake election in 2008 with a designated loser/ringer in McQueeg against Zero).

Beshear was defeatable in 2011, but a subpar GOP nominee and third party candidate split the opposition (so this again perhaps reflected the national scene for ‘12, with a second-in-a-row designated loser/ringer in Willard).

I have to wonder with Bevin if he made a last minute rally, or if he was ahead almost all along given the messed up polling data (overpolled Dem). Despite the concerns regarding Bevin, I regarded him as the strongest nominee over Hal Heiner and James Comer, since there was too much bitterness between the two others that would’ve spilled over into the general that would’ve cost us. Bevin was able to unite the primary voters.

Hopefully this will be a positive harbinger for 2016.


41 posted on 11/17/2015 12:02:53 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson