Posted on 11/14/2015 6:34:08 PM PST by SamAdams76
Washington (CNN) - A new national survey of Republicans indicates that it's basically all tied up between Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with Gingrich on the rise and businessman Herman Cain falling due to the sexual harassment allegations he's been facing the past two weeks. According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Monday, 24% of Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP say Romney is their most likely choice for their party's presidential nominee with Gingrich at 22%. Romney's two-point advantage is well within the survey's sampling error.
(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...
Exactly four years today, former frontrunner Herman Cain was dropping like a rock due to his bimbo eruptions and Mitt Romney moved into the lead with a surging Newt Gingrich right behind him.
This was how things stood exactly four years ago tonight:
It's interesting to note that eventual nominee Mitt Romney was at 24%. Even though Gingrich would for a short time overtake him and become the front runner for a while, Romney would never again drop below 20%. Compare that to this year's GOPe favorite Jebbie Bush, who never really got out of single digits and shows no signs of ever getting near 20%.
Ron Paul's 8 per cent is channeling the performance of his son Rand this year. Ditto for Carly Fiorina's performance this year compared to Michelle Bachmann (who also had surged briefly earlier in the campaign but began turning voters off). Rick Santorum continues to be around 3% four years later although in 2011, he was on his way to a surprise win in the Iowa caucus.
Anyway, an interesting snapshot from four years ago at this time.
Ted Cruz is the closest to Newt we have this time around. Hopefully he’ll rise above Rubio.
And Rick Santorum won the Iowa caucus.
Romney was the Goldman Sachs candidate. This year it’s someone else...
Donald Trump will be the GOP nominee. He’s never fallen below 20% since the summer and in the recent Reuters/Ipsos poll, he is now at 42%.
The GOP establishment and MSM are in deep denial but that’s where things stand going into the holidays.
I remeber Newt unleashing his ‘food stamp president’ comment and the audience in SC roared. Then the elites out new rules in place to silence the audiences from that point forward. Newt played along and eventually fizzled out.
Ben Carson could win the Hawekeye Cauci but he won’t be the nominee.
At this point in time, the race is Trump’s to lose.
“Romney was the Goldman Sachs candidate. This year it’s someone else...”
Yeah, most likely it’s Boosh, and he’s at 4% nationally.
Trump can only go up after the Friday the 13th massacre. Who else will gain from that, politically? I mean, wimps and PCers will fade after yesterday’s events.
Trump can only go up after the Friday the 13th massacre. Who else will gain from that, politically? I mean, wimps and PCers will fade after yesterday’s events.
And Trump won’t win the general.
“Anyway, an interesting snapshot from four years ago at this time.”
I don’t think that there are any parallels between what’s happening now and 4 years ago thanks principally to Trump. He’s thrown a bomb into the GOPe outhouse and it’s currently raining $hit and boards on them!
Four years ago, we had several front runners including Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich and Michelle Bachmann before Mitt finally overtook them all. This time around, there's really only been one front runner and he's now gaining strength.
As we head into the holiday season and people's attentions turn elsewhere for a while, the window of opportunity for the GOPe to close the deal with a handpicked candidate of their own choosing is rapidly closing.
They are going to have to come to terms that this year's nominee will NOT be of their choosing.
Hillary is still the odds on favorite because people want to elect a woman President.
And this country has changed.
Then there’s no reason to get out of bed in the morning.
I wouldn’t be so sure about your belief. I’m rooting for Mr. Cruz, but would be happy to see Mr. Trump as the Republican nominee.
I don’t think Mr. Cruz has any better chance than Mr. Trump come the general election. The dynamics at that stage are entirely different from what we are witnessing at this point in time.
In any case, keeping up the heat on Clinton should be the primary objective of all Republican hopefuls, and the more they hammer on her, the better, IMO.
GOPe did not like it one bit and they quickly shut it down.
But this election cycle, the GOPe is going to hear the roar of the rank and file. Whether they like it or not.
Yes he will.
I don’t vote for liberals.
That's an overly generous description of the current Democrat frontrunner. If the TV show "Orange Is The New Black" is looking for another ugly dyke to feature on their show, we can send Cankles directly to central casting.
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