Posted on 11/13/2015 11:20:52 AM PST by xzins
Amen Brother in Christ!
Amen! Amen! Amen!
That’s a keeper!
Fox is going crazy, insane anti-Trump today.
They are misrepresenting, misquoting, misdirecting, and seriously MISTAKEN.
Trump Derangement Syndrome has driven all of them crazy.
The polls going Trump’s way is killing them.
And they continue to use KNOWN partisans as pretend neutral commentators: Karl Rove, Rich Lowery, Any female republican panelist except Laura Ingraham, Stephen Hayes, Charles Krauthammer, Brit Hume, etc.
Speaking of words....
True I looked awhile back. It appeared that word is associated with a wide range of afflictions.
What makes that one instance pathological? Where did THAT word come from? Leaving it out the sentence would still make sense. Why add the word? Grandstanding? Or ......
Oh we see the good doctor in his own book defined it for us.
From the NY Times following the 2012 Election, Nov 11, 2012: (This excerpt is only 205 words)
**********************************
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/12/us/politics/the-techniques-behind-the-most-accurate-polls.html?_r=0
Some of the most accurate polling firms this year conducted their polls online. The final poll by Google Consumer Surveys had Mr. Obama ahead in the national popular vote by 2.3 percentage points â very close to his actual margin of 2.6 percentage points, as of Saturday morning. Ipsos, which conducted online polls for Reuters, and the Canadian online polling firm Angus Reid also fared well.
Looking more broadly across the 90 polling firms that conducted at least one likely-voter poll in the final three weeks of the campaign, polling firms that conducted their polls wholly or partially online outperformed others on average. Among the nine in that category, the average error in calling the election result was 2.1 percentage points. That compares with a 3.5-point error for polling firms that used live telephone interviewers and 5.0 points for ârobopolls,â which conducted their surveys by automated script.
The traditional telephone polls had a slight Republican bias on the whole, while the robopolls often had a significant Republican bias. (Even the automated polling firm Public Policy Polling, which often polls for liberal and Democratic clients, projected results that were slightly more favorable for Mr. Romney than he actually achieved.) The online polls had little overall bias, however.
Reuters is an extreme outlier.
Read #127
Well, anyone who has followed my posts knows after 2012 I stopped “poll deciphering” and accepted all of them, averaged together. So, no, I DON’T just accept RCP because it eliminates OAN/Gravis, Morning Consult, Rasmussen, and Reuters. Rather, I factor all those in. When you do, Trump’s lead nationally is well over 10, and on a state by state basis he’s leading still in most states.
That’s a good reason to not watch Fox. CNN does a better job and includes talking heads from both sides.
Thank you Xzins for that timely report. I appreciate it.
I’ll be bookmarking that sucker.
Trump has several tweets directed at iCarly and counters with one of them about in his the book,
Donald J. Trump â@realDonaldTrump 1 hour ago
.@CarlyFiorina Ben Carson said in his own book that he has a pathological temper & pathological disease. I didn't say it, he did. Apology?
See #127
I think 42% is the highest number Trump has achieved in any scientific poll.
The “mood” online polls aren’t scientific.
But, the scientific polls actually account for cell phone users and particularly those (like me) who don’t answer to unknown callers.
They are able to collect HUGE amounts of responses. From these huge databases, they pull random responses with accurate knowledge about sex, age, affiliation, etc.
Ben is getting the Carly treatment from Trump now. It worked for her and did nothing to harm Trump.
You could be right 42% being the highest. I think he has hit 40% in a couple of state polls.
Good point
Actually it isn’t. It has been the most accurate of any of them for five months running.
It shows Carson’s gains and losses.
Just because the other polls were gamed for Carson, don’t think the Reuter’s poll is wildly off. It isn’t.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.