Considering the intelligence his brother displayed turning control of the war over to the DNC, the MSM and Cindy Sheehan?
Yea, he probably is the smarter of the two actually.
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2015-11-04 : Political Prediction
Yeb Bush will "intelligently" REFUSE to exit the 2016 GOP Presidential Race until he is DEFEATED in the 2016 March 15 Florida Primary.
Period.
Why ?
Yeb Bush's political "ace in the hole" is the hopelessly corrupt Florida Republican Party ... the ones who redistricted the great Allen West out-of-office.
"Anything" can happen in a "New York Minute" in American politics.
Just ask Machiavelli, Abraham Lincoln, JFK, Bobby Kennedy, Vince Foster, Gary Hart, Buddy Holly, U.S. Senators Hale Boggs, Ted Stevens, and Paul Wellstone, Herman Cain ...
and Napoleon at Waterloo (who was winning the battle, and Wellington admitting defeat, as late as 5:00 PM in the afternoon).
Ninety-eight (98) GOP Convention delegates are at stake in Florida's "mas mucho rigged" state Presidential Primary (Winner take All).
That makes it more convenient for Yeb's GOPe Chamber of Commerce Political Whores (aka the Florida Republican Party) to hand Yeb 98 convention delegates on a silver platter.
Yeb Bush has absolutely NOTHING to lose by staying in the presidential race (anything can happen).
Is it a longshot ? Absolutely.
Has Karl Rove already planned for this scenario ? Absolutely.
Will Dr. Ben Carson endorse Yeb Bush when the good doctor is "finished" ? Absolutely.
As a romantic interest once told me ... "It's All About the Money" ... perfectly applicable to Yeb Bush, Ben Carson, and Karl Rove.
So he admits he WILL drop out. Just after Iowa... Since nothing will be changed by Iowa, yes. Even Iowa's GOP establishment really doesn't like him much, and he has no Iowa ground game.
I wonder if it's some campaign fund-raising laws that will keep him in past the first real votes.