You are right that polls are a snapshot in time. But You.gov poll has a very low MOE. Shows Trump way ahead of Carson. And as you say an average of multiple polls is a better yardstick. So far Trump is a reliable leader. I just don’t see how he loses at this point absent an alien abduction.
Yes, I agree. I think it is his to lose at this point. Lot’s of time to go though...tough to keep that head of steam...especially against the headwinds of the media and the GOP (amazing that his own party is against him).