Carson stumbled badly on Wed night so am feeling that the Rasmussen and You.gov polls more accurately reflect the truth. Trump is running 11-14 pts ahead of Carson.
Sadly Ted Cruz just can’t past 8%. I was thinking this thing would be a short 3 way race with Trump, Cruz and Rubio a distant third morphing into a Trump with Cruz trailing final race. Now I’m not sure.
Cruz has issues, he can fire up the hard care base all day long, but he’s not a well liked guy, doesn’t have the personality of a Trump.. and has some very very difficult general election concerns.
Ideologically I love the guy, but I am hard pressed to see him winning the national election. Believe me, I’d love for him to, just not sold he can.
I think Trump, Cruz and Rubio are the most likely last 3 standing, as the GOPe realize Jeb is a dud, they will put their money behind Rubio and try to push him... I can assure them, that I won’t show up on election day for Rubio anymore than I would for Jeb, but that won’t matter they will push him anyway.
This is still Trumps race to lose, and I don’t see that changing.