Posted on 10/28/2015 11:46:13 AM PDT by conservativejoy
Most Republican voters want someone from outside of the political establishment to win their party's nomination for the presidential election
Republicans haven’t lost their appetite for presidential debates: two in three Republicans claim they will be watching on Wednesday night, about the same percentage that said they would watch the first two GOP debates. Half of Republicans in the latest Economist/YouGov Poll say they are very interested in the debate, and one in four believe debate performances will be very important in deciding how they will vote in their party’s nominating competitions.
What will Republicans be looking for in the debates? Two in three Republicans believe it’s more important to find a candidate who agrees with them on the issues than to have a nominee who can win a general election. Democrats are also looking for the same thing – issue similarity is more important to them than electability.
But Republicans part ways with Democrats when it comes to what issues matter most. Although the CNBC debate is meant to focus on economic issues, two in three Republicans agree that foreign policy issues are very important in determining their vote next year: the fight against ISIS, as well as the Iran nuclear deal. Republicans also name immigration reform and the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) as very important. 57% name tax reform.
The biggest issues for Democrats are quite different: economic inequality, guns, climate change, and money in politics. Only tax reform interests both parties equally.
Democrats and Republicans also differ on the importance of a candidate’s experience within the political system. For Democrats, experience is a positive; for Republicans it is a negative. Of course, the major Democratic candidates have been elected officials, while the top two Republicans have never been elected to political office.
The Republicans horserace continues to be dominated by businessman Donald Trump and neurosurgeon Ben Carson. Trump is still the leader in the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, with Carson in second place. Florida Senator Marco Rubio is the highest ranked Republican elected official. Those three are the only Republican candidates who score in double digits with registered voters who think of themselves as Republicans.
Trump and Carson are effectively tied when first and second choice preferences are combined. 43% of Republicans choose Trump first or second; 42% say Carson is their first or second choice. Rubio is far behind those two, but runs ahead of Jeb Bush, his Florida colleague.
The Economist/YouGov Poll includes the responses of 2,000 adults nationwide. The larger sample size means there are about 500 self-identified Republicans, and it is possible to look at subgroups within the party. Trump runs equally well with men and women, though his first choice margin over Carson is bigger among men than it is with women. Carson runs ahead of Trump in the Midwest; Trump leads in all other regions.
41% of Republicans this week believe Trump is their party’s likely nominee. And three in four Republicans think he can defeat the Democratic nominee, whomever that is. But Trump is not the only Republicans thought of as a possible fall winner. As many think Carson could win as think Trump can; Majorities of Republicans also see Rubio and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush as possible winners.
Haven’t heard the MSM report on this at all. They are too busy popping the champagne over the NYT poll.
Wait...what??? I’m confused. I thought Dr Ambien was ahead in the polls?? I mean, that’s what everyone is saying... even Fox News! And you KNOW Fox is a reliable conservative source.... right???
Made-to-order polls : )
I wish we could fast forward the calendar to next year already. I think once the voting starts the MSM, the establishment of both parties, and the political gurus will be stunned to see how much support Trump and Sanders will be getting.
My husband had Fox on and I turned them off. One poll with a small sampling of mostly Democrats by the NYT and the media acts like that negates every other national poll. Disgusting.
Let’s keep it all in perspective. Carson apparently has a recent lead in Iowa and Trump, just about everywhere else...in most cases it’s not very close. Polls are not the be all to end all, but they do state trends and when multiple polls with multiple agendas all trend similar, it is a good indicator. It is still early and Trump still has a lot of work to do to close the “deal” as he likes to say. We still have to endure another few days of Carson’s #s and the likelihood that some candidate or candidates, will be the media’s new “soar” darling after tonight’s performance. I look for Rubio to be the media pick...Jeb’s on the ropes, Fiorina’s bubble has burst, they’ll avoid Cruz and the rest are to far down for soaring.
“My husband had Fox on and I turned them off.”
Good for you! They have shown themselves to be little better if any than the blatantly Left Wing MSM. They seem to be in the pocket of the Chamber of Communists and the big bucks GoPee donors.
Carson “may” win IA but that will be the last one he’ll win. I predict Trump/Cruz will run the table the rest of the season.
Maybe I’m dense but what’s the point of combining 1st and second choice to give a candidates rating.
If a vote were taken today, a given candidate would get votes only from voters for whom that candidate was first choice. The voter’s 2nd choice is irrelevant in the election.
I would not be a bit surprised if Trump wins Iowa. Look at the size of the crowds that attend to his speeches.
So Trump is basically almost doubling Carson nationally (which reflects most of the other national polling in the past two weeks, that CBS/NYT poll notwithstanding) on first preference, and some of his and some of Cruz’s people are preferring Carson as their second choice.
You sure wouldn’t know that this poll existed by the idiots on the newscasts today.
“Haven’t heard the MSM report on this at all. They are too busy popping the champagne over the NYT poll.”
They will run with that one all week. Fits the narrative they are trying to push and the reason it was put out in the first place.
Is there a website where I can view the debate on the internet?
The Five talked about at rump yesterday. The only time Dana can talk about Trump.without getting into a celebrity death match with Bolling is in this case when she has bad news for trump
“The only time Dana can talk about Trump.without getting into a celebrity death match with Bolling is in this case when she has bad news for trump”
Dana Perino has her nose so far up the Boosh Family’s a$$, it’s a wonder that she can go on breathing! It’s a striking thing for Fox to continue to refer to her, and to Rove, as “Fox News Contributors,” when they routinely refer to other lesser individuals as “operatives” of one party of another!
I’m sure live threads will be posted here on FR. I typically don’t use them due to my limited monthly band width allowance on Hughes.net.
Dana is so up the Bush Family’s rear end.
I cannot stand her for that reason.
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