That was not my point. My point is simply that’s it’s an unprofessional, illegitimate poll. I’ll wait for a poll with at least a better sample size and MOE before I claim anything about anyone.
Now, speaking to this particular poll, what I don't understand is the 6% MoE. By that I mean that I don't understand where this is coming from, because with a sample size of 575 voters, the MoE should be more like 4.1%, which is perfectly acceptable because to push it much lower, you have to start polling a LOT more voters (costs $$$) for diminishing accuracy returns. To be getting an MoE of 6%, they should have only polled maybe 250-275 voters, which I agree would be ridiculously small.
Now, I don't dismiss this poll because it doesn't say what I would like for it to have said. However, it IS an outlier from the other national polling, which has had Trump up by a pretty comfortable 10-15% margin. Likewise, it is CBS/NYT - and my experience suggests that polls put out by the MSM tend to systematically lean left, while those from professional houses tend to be more accurate.
While I wouldn't necessarily say 100% that this is a push-poll, there are enough...questionable...things about it that makes me at least suspicious that it is.
I agree with you about the polling in this case but I wouldn’t be surprised if there is a shift in the numbers away from Trump...at least temporarily. I think his 9-11 comments might have hurt him. I know they have with my two brothers and I imagine there are more folks out there who took the same offense. I don’t think the damage is permanent but it’s real for now.