Hillary/ Bernnie will lose Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Maine, New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada, and NM. That’s 269. Cruz has the advantage because he’s putting together a great grass roots team who will work diligently for him because they believe in him. I can see Cruz winning Oh, Pa, Wi, and Fl based on ground game.
Iowa has gone Dem 6 out of the last 7 elections.
Michigan has gone Dem the last 6 elections.
Maine has gone Dem the last 6 elections. Obama won it by 17% in 2008 and 15% in 2012.
New Hampshire has gone Dem 5 out of the last 6 elections.
NM has gone Dem 5 out of the last 6 elections.
I can see Cruz winning Oh, Pa, Wi, and Fl based on ground game.
PA has gone Dem the last 6 elections.
WI has gone Dem the last 7 elections. Even with Ryan on the ticket, WI went for Obama 53% to 46%.