Sorry. I should have had a sarcasm tag. I wouldn’t trust this model any more than I would a climate model in that it could be manipulated to give a desired result. I guess my tin-foil is showing.
“Sorry. I should have had a sarcasm tag. I wouldn’t trust this model any more than I would a climate model in that it could be manipulated to give a desired result. I guess my tin-foil is showing.”
No. I caught the sarcasm. My only point is that the violence models are probably not in the same bogus league as the climate models. I’ve done some work modeling prisoner recidivism in the past. This is an area where you can build pretty good models because the data are actually predictive of results in the real world. But even though the models are good statistically, the false positive rate is pretty bad. That’s all.