[InterceptPoint]

I don't recall that. There's no way the average was 31, unless you included polls that no one would include, like the one that had him at 39%.

Trump wasn't there very long be he did hit about 31 on the RCP average. And, AFIK, RCP is the gold standard for poll averages. If there is a better one someone should point it out.

And, for the record, I'm not picking on Trump. Just pointing out the facts.

Here is the RCP data:

[LS]

Odd. Note ALL turned down simultaneously, especially those at the top. Only Fiorina shot up briefly.

[Sooth2222]

Trump is almost exactly where Obama was at this time in 2007.