The original idea of this campaign to elect Bush was to divide the conservative vote in the early proportional states and have those establishment dividers give their delegates to Bush later in the race when the winner-take-all, plurality wins states hit after March 15.
I can see that strategy is in jeopardy now.
I expect all of the dividers to exit to see if they can narrow it down to one establishment candidate and two conservatives splitting their votes. So many states after Mar 15 permit cross-over or modified crossover voting (independents) that the belief is that Trump’s 30% has to be confronted head-on with an anti-Trump, all out war in media and in the trenches.
The only question in my mind is if the establishment candidate will be Bush or Fiorina. They are the only viable alternatives.
When NBC pushes CNN’s poll because it looks better for Fiorina than their own, then you know something’s afoot.
One could say that Bush is taking himself out with this border nonsense of his, because he has to know that even independents don’t buy open borders. He’s counting on huge numbers of democrat crossovers, he’s paving the way for someone else, or he’s in never-never-land.
I think the elites are going to switch to Rubio, not Carly. She's the attack poodle, good for a veep slot (a pretty effective one at that).