You're probably correct, but it's interesting that 'support' would go to Carson, and not Carly. She's closer to GOPe policies, and is way better versed on the subjects than Carson.
Leads me to believe the numbers are being manipulated to shift Trump support towards the "kinder gentler" Carson, who would later be easier to dispatch than Carly.
But the next phase of “the Struggle” is income inequality and jail the CEO’s. Carly is not the soros choice for the Designated Loser. That also explains the panic over Trump.