The deal is that the Democrats have a very specific way of winning. Clean up with a massive majority in the black community and a reasonable majority in the Latino sector and hold their own in the White population. Lots of white guilt.
The White guilt is OVER. Few except for the most Liberal none will vote Democrat and of many that will not vote Republican they will not vote at all. The Democrats have been so open border and so pro illegal over that of Blacks that they are starting to lose the blacks ever so slightly. A drop from 90% vote of blacks for Democrats to a fall of 80% of Black votes renders Democrats unable to win.
Add to the fact that they have NO excitement in their party and there it is becoming less likely Democrats maintain the White House this cycle.
I’d like to know the answer to that question as well. If Trump can pull, say, just 13% of the black vote, he’s in excellent shape. That would make states like Ohio and North Carolina a lock, and put Pennsylvania very much in play.