No he doesn't. He just has to keep doing better than all those stiffs he's running against, and they aren't setting the bar very high.
I listened to an interview between Chris Matthews and Rand Paul today. It was devistating for Paul. Chris stated Trump’s positions and said “what you gonnna do?” - the answer was a stumbling falling down cut open your knee on lava rock projectile vomit in the emergency room answer.
He doesn't have to outrun the bear, he only needs to stay in front of everybody else?