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To: nathanbedford
When Trump's numbers appear robust, Trump supporters proclaim the polls from the rooftops.

Did you, yourself, not claim a "trend" at the first dip in Trump's numbers?

167 posted on 08/14/2015 10:41:46 PM PDT by papertyger (If the government doesn't obey the Constitution, what is treason?)
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To: papertyger; flaglady47
No, I predicted the first debate would begin the process. On the first dip in the polls I said it was too early to call a trend. I believe that we have the trend with ongoing confirming poll numbers. The trend is to the effect that Trump's acceleration is slowing, his support is topping, and in some places slipping, that his support ceiling is probably around 20% +2%.

Post position at this point is virtually meaningless it is only trends that count. The mindless crowing that we get from some Trump supporters that he is on top (generally offered with a gratuitous personal slap) is about as relevant as when Bush was on top, then Walker. But if a candidate has no philosophical foundation, soaring negatives, incoherent positions, it is necessary to quote the polls because that's all he has.

It is one thing for Walker to lose ground in the polls, his biography and his record give him the chance to come back. If Marco Rubio loses ground, his appeal on the stump can let him come back. But once the main prop of Trump's campaign softens, once the momentum slows…


196 posted on 08/15/2015 12:47:06 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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