The most recent FL polls I’ve seen showed Trump leading.
I think what will happen is Trump will take the opening primaries. Several of the lower tier candidates will lose their donors and drop out. Cruz is going to take the SEC with Trump not far behind. Several more will drop out.
By the last primaries, Bush will have a couple of states as will Trump and Cruz. Going into the convention, a decision will need to be made. Trump is the only one with options, because if Bush makes it to the convention, he is the inevitable choice of RNC.
Question here is, if Trump looks like he will be abandoned at the convention, after running a successful campaign, will he go third party or throw all his support behind Cruz?
The way I see it as of now, I would bet on a Cruz/Bush ticket. There is no reason why Bush can’t wait 8 years.
Trump is as well leading in Missouri, Nevada, Alabama, South Carolina, North Carolina.