He may be wrong on a couple of counts.
Bush probably will not carry FLA.
Trump is holding the trump card (pun intended) on the GOPe
Since he is a 3rd party threat unless he is treated well by the party. Seems like he has them over the barrel.
Absolutely.
Being ahead in FLA and having all the money he needs to launch a blitzkrieg in the ad and win total command of the air, GOPe is wondering if beating Trump in FLA is worth the cost of a 3rd party run.
ESPECIALLY if he goes in with 1 and 2 showings in IA, NH, NV and SC.
Trump could kill every other GOP campaign in FLA.
If he wins there, THEIR money will dry up.
The Kochs and others will not back certain losers in the primary process.