I remember four ago at about this time we had at least three front runners with similar numbers in the premature polling data.
First it was Rick Perry, then Newt Gingrich, then Herman Cain.
Anyone who places too much stock in these preliminary polls will be disappointed.
I’ve seen this before.
Yes of course Trump is ahead in the polls right now. He’s an expert on self promotion and he provides a lot of entertainment for the media.
It’s not just one poll. Here’s another one: Trump lapping the field in Iowa:
http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/iowa-poll-trump-walker/2015/07/31/id/664826/
That he is.
Fortunately for him, self promotion is 95% of what it takes to become the nominee, and 95% of what it takes to become President.
Because he has an enormous reservoir of issues he can self promote about, the guy is very close to having a lock on the Presidency. Another month at most.
Those three dropped for very specific reasons.
Perry was only in first place before he even entered the race. He begin to sink as soon as he started talking and joined the debates. Sort of like Fred in 2008.
Gingrich had one great moment in the SC debate, then was wiped out in Florida by negative ads from Romney.
Cain was only first after two or three others had faded due to poor performances. Then the scandals broke and he chose to not fight them.
Trump has been talking for weeks, maybe a little too much, but he keeps gaining in the polls. His situation is not in anyway comparable to the three you mentioned.
Wishful thinking on your part.