[cicero2k]

Here’s where the inroads must be made for 2016: Obama got 93% of the Black vote in 2012. He got 73% of the Asian vote, 71% of the Latino vote, and 70% of the Jewish vote Together, those groups were 30% of the total electorate.

About the only issue the Republicans have is the decline in income of the middle class of ~ 8%, where the perceived solution is bolstering small business. I think Hilary as former Secretary of State neutralizes foreign policy issues.

How this narrative can strip significant Black-Asian-Latino-Jew voters, I don't know. Some yes, enough, probably not.

[Nero Germanicus]

Add to the demographic factors, Obama beat Romney 55% to 45% with women voters who were 53% of the total electoral. Romney won among men 52% to 45%.
Clinton conceiveably could do better with women than Obama.