Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Aetius
Legal immigration is meaningless at this point in the election cycle.

Illegal immigration has a much larger role to play in the election.

41% of 'hispanics'... what a word... voted for Cruz when he ran for the Senate.

I think Texas is doing ok.

And you don't get to make rules for other people. You need to figure that out.

I'll keep sending money to the guy I think needs to be the candidate.

You may be able to vote for whoever the media and GOP-E select, but I'm not, and won't.

/johnny

34 posted on 04/30/2015 2:17:31 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (gone Galt)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies ]


To: JRandomFreeper

I didn’t realize I was trying to make rules. I was just requesting responses to specific points, to which you’ve sort of done, so thank you.

Cruz may have won 40% of Hispanics in 2012, but he won the race because of his overwhelming share of the white vote. There is no denying that. If it were up to Hispanics in Texas, Cruz wouldn’t be a Senator today. Cruz can go on about Hispanics being natural conservatives because of work ethic, but they don’t vote that way, and they don’t take conservative views on most of the big issues when polled on them.

Republican dominance in Texas has come from the realignment of the state’s conservative white population. This is why Texas hasn’t gone the way of California; it’s not because Texas Hispanics are a little less Democrat than their California counterparts, but rather because Texas whites are a lot more conservative than whites in California.

But this won’t hold forever. If the GOP can hold onto 70+% of the white vote in Texas then they’ll avoid a California-like collapse into near irrelevance, but eventually 70% of whites won’t be enough guarantee victory. It definitely won’t be able to deliver landslide victories that the GOP has become accustomed to in Texas for too much longer.

These pro-Democrat demographic shifts are largely driven by the excessively high levels of legal immigration, year after year, decade after decade, that Cruz supports.

I don’t know which will play a bigger role in the election in the end - illegal or legal immigration, but ideally both would be big considerations. If Cruz (or Bush, or Christie, or Rubio) is the nominee, then it will probably be a rhetorical war between him and Hillary to see who can wax most poetic about how much they love legal immigration, with no consideration at all given to the idea that there can be too much of it. Cruz may think his calls for increasing legal immigration will give him an edge with immigrant groups, but Hillary could just match him on that, and then the issue is neutralized with Hispanics and Asians and those two groups just go back to their default pro-Democrat position.

And when it comes to illegal immigration, all will say they oppose amnesty, some will say there should be a path to citizenship, some will say no to a path to citizenship, and none of them will call for most illegal aliens to back to their country of origin.


38 posted on 05/01/2015 1:02:06 PM PDT by Aetius
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson