Nate Silver recently published a blog for “538” that debunks much of the idea the EC is mounting against the GOP as much as some think it is. Hillary will not benefit from the 2008 wave-year dynamic, or the 2012 incumbency advantage that favored Obama. So long as we DON’T find ourselves saddled with Jeb Bush, the states will probably line up closer to 2004 than 2008/2012. I can see Iowa, Nevada, Colorado, Florida and Virginia realigning against the dems in 2016.
All that said... there’s also the undeniable factor of the growing numbers of brainless ones who now populate half of the electorate. If the dems successfully dangle another shiny object in their faces, they’ll turn out in big numbers for Hillary.
“Mostly, the “blue wall” was the effect of Obama’s success in 2008 and 2012, not the cause of it.” - http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3278704/posts
If you could post a link to Nate Silver’s article, I would be interested. I am a little wary of getting nuanced on same. The fact of the matter is that the GOP has to win practically every loose race. All of them. That is statistically unlikely, IMHO.
As utterly despicable as HC is, the math of the EC is indeed formidable.