Actually the “hard numbers” won’t be released until Wednesday (Israeli time). Right now they are just based on various services and their Exit Polling.
The exit polling should hold up in the actual vote count.
The Likud could pick up a few more seats in the soldiers’ vote, to be counted later.
This past Thursday, the Likud appeared to slipping away fast. This is the Mother Of All Political Comebacks.
Obama won’t take defeat with good grace, that is for sure.