The problem with this line of thinking is that it fails to take the candidates into account. It assumes people will vote the same way regardless of who is on the ballot. This is simply not the case for ~40% of the voting country.
“The problem with this line of thinking is that it fails to take the candidates into account.”
Yes. Had a better candidate run, the Republicans probably would have won FL, OH, VA, and CO in 2012. I think that would have put anyone but Romney over the top :-). All 4 of those states were within 2% of Der Fuerher if I am not mistaken.
I know what you’re trying to get at, but the problem is, I’m not sure those 40% (or at least the majority of them) are in states that matter.