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Blizzard 2015:How did the forecasts get it so wrong? (Gruber Modeling?)
CBS News ^ | 01/27/2015 | staff

Posted on 01/27/2015 3:11:05 PM PST by Kid Shelleen

It was supposed to be the storm of the century, a blizzard like no other that would dump two feet of snow on New York City and shut the Big Apple down for days.

Instead, New Yorkers awoke Tuesday to several inches of snow on the ground. Roads were mostly clear and the only headache was the fact the city had shut down the subways over fears of the impending snowstorm.

So what happened? How could the weatherman have gotten it so wrong? --snip-- Meteorologists are often at the mercy of imperfect computer models that aren't always reliable at this time of the year.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
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To: Kid Shelleen
maybe the forecast WASN'T wrong ...

I mean ... maybe the forecasters were fed false data for a reason and they forecasted correctly according to the data ....

Just sayin'

I'm the guy that tells you there is a war WITH terror (fear) in that, we have been cowtowed into being afraid of everything just because someone else has said so

Freepers here have been making statements all day like ... "I check my barometer", or .. " I look out the window"

I don't listen to AM TV, nor satalite, nor cable ... we have one of those air boxes/antenna's that pulls in about 4 or 5 pretty good digitals which we watch at night for a movie of a cop show .... so I never heard the hype

Just sayin'

21 posted on 01/27/2015 3:28:35 PM PST by knarf (I say things that are true ... I have no proof ... but, they're true)
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To: Kid Shelleen

The forecasters did not get it wrong. It went exactly as they planned. The MSM got their ‘news stories’ and the stores got their sales.


22 posted on 01/27/2015 3:30:27 PM PST by spel_grammer_an_punct_polise (Why does every totalitarian, political hack think that he knows how to run my life better than I do?)
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To: Darksheare
But they are 100% certain on global warming forecasts.

But of course, it's settled science...

23 posted on 01/27/2015 3:33:03 PM PST by Popman
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To: Kid Shelleen

That it does, and the mind numbed uncritical thinkers lap it up and accept it at face value.


24 posted on 01/27/2015 3:35:14 PM PST by Darksheare (Those who support liberal "Republicans" summarily support every action by same.)
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To: RJS1950; Kid Shelleen

They had hoped that Sandy would be super destructive.
It was only very damaging to NYC and immediate low lying areas nearby.
We got heavy rain.. whoopee.
They were predicting where I am at to be “devastated”.
They salivate at the idea of having an Obama Katrina so they can “show the world how it is done.”
*snort*
Considering they botched the recovery of Sandy up so badly, I am certain the recovery from a real serious event would be doubly botched.


25 posted on 01/27/2015 3:38:02 PM PST by Darksheare (Those who support liberal "Republicans" summarily support every action by same.)
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To: Kid Shelleen

Anymore it’s always the worst storm to ever hit.

This type of weather isn’t new to the Northeast, it’s been going on for centuries.

This link http://www.weather2000.com/NY_Snowstorms.html
gives the bigger storms over the last 200 years in the NY and east coast area but only the most notable; there were plenty of others.

Interesting stats toward the bottom. This is a media generated circus that feeds the government officials to mobilize and look like they care. The blizzard of 1947 was so huge it affected half the country.


26 posted on 01/27/2015 3:38:43 PM PST by RJS1950 (The democrats are the "enemies foreign and domestic" cited in the federal oath)
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To: Kid Shelleen
Yep kinda like predicting the exact land point of a hurricane some 24 - 48 hours out.
You know the general location but mother nature is still in charge. Remember Atlanta last winter?


Fourteen-year-old Will Adam snow boards down a street on Beacon Hill during a
large winter blizzard in Boston, January 27, 2015. REUTERS/Brian Snyder

<>
A snowbank in the Suffolk County town of Dix Hills, New York on Tuesday.

27 posted on 01/27/2015 3:39:01 PM PST by deport
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To: Popman

Yeah, just look at their models.
*eyes shift left and right*


28 posted on 01/27/2015 3:39:03 PM PST by Darksheare (Those who support liberal "Republicans" summarily support every action by same.)
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To: Haiku Guy

It was/is a huge storm in New England. I’ve 30 inches on the ground w/ 5 ft. drifts and another 3-5” on the way overnight. Thank God for my snow-blower.


29 posted on 01/27/2015 3:41:25 PM PST by PTBAA
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To: Blueflag

Well, they can’t create dramatic television with the simple facts.


30 posted on 01/27/2015 4:08:32 PM PST by ArcadeQuarters ("Immigration Reform" is ballot stuffing)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

I can fault them. NYC got moderate snow, 15 miles East, it was 20 inches. Shutting down NYC might have been an overreaction, but the forecast was pretty close.


31 posted on 01/27/2015 4:27:32 PM PST by NYFriend
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To: Darksheare

You betcha! The “science is settled”
LOL!


32 posted on 01/27/2015 4:31:27 PM PST by vpintheak (Call them what they are - regressive control-freaks)
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To: Darksheare
“Meteorologists are often at the mercy of imperfect computer models that aren’t always reliable” But they are 100% certain on global warming forecasts.

But there is consensus.

33 posted on 01/27/2015 4:35:45 PM PST by immadashell (The inmates are running the asylum.)
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To: SamAdams76

Then they should not be 30 miles off.


34 posted on 01/27/2015 4:37:58 PM PST by ully2
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To: immadashell; vpintheak

Gotta love that, right?


35 posted on 01/27/2015 4:38:22 PM PST by Darksheare (Those who support liberal "Republicans" summarily support every action by same.)
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To: Darksheare

Like I love a kick in the nuts! :-)


36 posted on 01/27/2015 4:45:36 PM PST by vpintheak (Call them what they are - regressive control-freaks)
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To: Kid Shelleen

modern computer models are subject to errors just like the old ones were. The old saying still applies, “garbage in, garbage out.” Add to that the lack of scientific discipline of today’s scientists coupled with their always seeking the government dole, all adds up to inaccurate results. The fact that we rely so heavily on computer modeling in so many aspects of life is scary.


37 posted on 01/27/2015 4:53:19 PM PST by elpadre (AfganistaMr Obama said the goal was to "disrupt, dismantle and defeat al-hereQaeda" and its allies.)
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To: Kid Shelleen

Slow news day -
Snow news day - -
No news day - - -


38 posted on 01/27/2015 4:53:47 PM PST by USARightSide (S U P P O R T I N G OUR T R O O P S)
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To: Kid Shelleen

The thing you have to realize is that the streets were clean and clear and the subways were ready to start rolling again because of the precautions they took. You can argue if it was necessary but you can’t leave that out.


39 posted on 01/27/2015 4:55:39 PM PST by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
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To: vpintheak

And the warmists have an almost religious zeal to them over it too.


40 posted on 01/27/2015 4:59:56 PM PST by Darksheare (Those who support liberal "Republicans" summarily support every action by same.)
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