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Updated Iowa Caucus odds: Post-Iowa Freedom edition
Washington Times ^ | Steve Deace

Posted on 01/25/2015 8:52:07 AM PST by SoConPubbie

On Saturday, the first-in-the-nation Iowa Caucuses officially got underway with Congressman Steve King’s Iowa Freedom Summit.

With a list of speakers as distinguished as you’ll see at the annual Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), most of the people who have spent at least five minutes thinking about being the 2016 Republican presidential nominee were there. With the exception of Jeb Bush (conservatives are not his crowd), Bobby Jindal (he was hosting a spiritual revival event in Louisiana), Marco Rubio (“Gang of 8” amnesty and Mr. King don’t necessarily mix), Rand Paul (he’s on a passive-aggressive kick at the moment), and Mitt Romney (perpetually unsure of himself).

After having an entire day to size up most of the field in one place together for the first time, as well as talk to key activists and sources, it’s time to update my Iowa Caucus odds since last November’s debut.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz: 2-1 (was 4-1)
If Mr. Cruz’s speech and the crowd reaction to it were based on a best-selling book it would be titled “The Five Love Languages.” Mr. Cruz credibly and inspirationally touched on every key theme of the current zeitgeist, and is clearly the favorite of the conservative activists. If there were a straw poll at this event, he would’ve won it.

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker: 4-1 (was 5-1)
This was Mr. Walker’s coming out party, and I heard mixed reaction to his speech from those I talked to. However, several governing conservatives (those holding electing office or aspiring to) were buzzing about Mr. Walker throughout the event.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cruz; scottwalker; tedcruz; walker
"If we must have an enemy at the head of Government, let it be one whom we can oppose, and for whom we are not responsible, who will not involve our party in the disgrace of his foolish and bad measures." - Alexander Hamilton
 
"We don't intend to turn the Republican Party over to the traitors in the battle just ended. We will have no more of those candidates who are pledged to the same goals as our opposition and who seek our support. Turning the Party over to the so-called moderates wouldn’t make any sense at all." -- President Ronald Reagan
 
"A thing moderately good is not so good as it ought to be. Moderation in temper is always a virtue; but moderation in principle is always a vice." - Thomas Paine 1792
 
"It does not take a majority to prevail, but rather an irate, tireless minority, keen on setting brushfires of freedom in the minds of men." - Samuel Adams
 
"If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or your arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen." - Samuel Adams
 

1 posted on 01/25/2015 8:52:07 AM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: SoConPubbie; Kale; Jarhead9297; COUNTrecount; notaliberal; DoughtyOne; RitaOK; MountainDad; ...
Ted Cruz Ping!

If you want on/off this ping list, please let me know.

Please beware, this is a high-volume ping list!


CRUZ or LOSE!


2 posted on 01/25/2015 8:55:45 AM PST by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: SoConPubbie

Ted Cruz. My man.


3 posted on 01/25/2015 9:01:16 AM PST by Zuben Elgenubi (NOPe to GOPe)
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To: SoConPubbie

It’s going to take serious grass roots—us—to get Ted nominated. Need to think outside the box. Find likeminded friends, get them registered as pubs, push them to vote.


4 posted on 01/25/2015 9:01:27 AM PST by Basket_of_Deplorables (Run Ted, Run!!! Mors continere monstra)
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To: Cruz2Victory

His initial election here in Texas was not supposed to happen. We made it happen.


5 posted on 01/25/2015 9:25:00 AM PST by SuzyQue
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To: Cruz2Victory

The rap is that Ted talks to the base, that he can’t win since he is disadvantaged raising money. BS, Ted only needs to get a Koch or an Adelson backing him and the rest is going to be the base including Tea party funding.

We need a conservative convention early to select one conservative to run against the Rinos.

One thing this week end, Rand and Rubio I believe were not at the Iowa summit, this tells you they don’t care about the conservatives because we are on to them being Gang of eight types. Rand backs Mitch and has been a moderate, Rubio is finished for me because of how hard he pushed Amnesty.

Most of all we need to pick only one conservative and that will solve the Money Gap.


6 posted on 01/25/2015 9:34:11 AM PST by Zenjitsuman (New Boss Nancy Pelosi)
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To: SoConPubbie

Interesting comment:

Off the Board

Ohio Gov. John Kasich, Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and Indiana Gov. Mike Pence.
Despite the media speculation surrounding their potential candidacies, there is
nothing substantive happening in Iowa so far that would indicate either is seriously
contemplating mounting a run.

Read more: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/jan/25/steve-deace-updated-iowa-caucus-odds-post-iowa-fre/?page=2#ixzz3Pr8QNAQi
Follow us: @washtimes on Twitter


7 posted on 01/25/2015 9:39:33 AM PST by deport
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To: deport

Yea, I highly doubt that Sarah will jump in while Senator Cruz is a candidate. They are simpatico.

They seem to agree 100% on just about everything and seem to be great friends.

We’ll see, there maybe some strategy we aren’t aware of yet.


8 posted on 01/25/2015 9:42:04 AM PST by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: Cruz2Victory
Need to think outside the box.

More need to get involved with the Local Republican chapters and take control from there. Let it be widely known that another conservative-lite candidate will not be supported. Let that information filter up through the state chapters to the national chapter.

Sadly, I think the RNC would prefer to see a Democrat get elected than someone like Cruz that isn't controllable.

9 posted on 01/25/2015 9:51:39 AM PST by voicereason (The RNC is like the "One-night stand" you wish you could forget.)
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To: Zenjitsuman

Ted only needs to get a Koch....

All this talk about the Koch brothers. It’s great that they poor millions into getting candidates elected, but at what price? They don’t have a problem with gay marriage. They don’t have a problem with pathway to citizenship. What else don’t they have a problem with? And how will that influence candidates? I’m tired of candidates starting out strong and becoming just another establishment republican. I think we’ve seen that several times in the recent house and senate elections. I don’t want to see that now.


10 posted on 01/25/2015 1:57:43 PM PST by mouse1 (Cruz 2016)
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To: mouse1

“I’m tired of candidates starting out strong and becoming just another establishment republican. I think we’ve seen that several times in the recent house and senate elections. I don’t want to see that now.”

That is the biggest problem. Cry baby being reelected after the majority of republican voters didn’t want him shows the disconnect between the people and our pretend representatives.


11 posted on 01/25/2015 4:26:36 PM PST by Hardens Hollow (Formerly yorkiemom. I couldn't find Galt's Gulch, so created our own Harden's Hollow. Join us!)
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To: Zenjitsuman

The other thing going for Ted Cruz is that he’s a Harvard graduate, well spoken and looks presidential. He could even assure the GOPe that his Ivy League credentials won’t allow him to be too extreme. And they just might buy it, albeit with extreme reluctance.


12 posted on 01/25/2015 4:47:50 PM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: SoConPubbie

Sarah will be a wonderful Cabinet Secretary in the Cruz administration - EPA Administrator would be a wonderful choice, start deconstructing that regulatory empire on day one.

I can just see and smell the spontaneous combustion of liberals starting the day her name is floated for this position.


13 posted on 01/26/2015 6:23:04 AM PST by spiderpig (does whatever a SpiderPig does)
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To: Zenjitsuman

He’ll get two million dollars from me.


14 posted on 01/26/2015 5:09:16 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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