Excellent observation, and basically a reverse of 2012. Love to see how a four way between Bush-Cristie-Romney-Cruz would pan out.
In that scenario, I'd guess Cruz goes into the convention with the lead, and the GOP(e) then steals it from him in second, third, or fourth ballot.
You’re forgetting the employer mandate... and tax season itself... The American people voted in Nov for Rs to Stop The Pain, and RomneyCare and Bush’s Act Of Love will not be forgotten.
And remember the Sarah Stump factor.