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To: BlueDragon
I think Senator Ted Cruz is very electable, but not ‘nominatable’ by the Republicans. Check the new rules for the delegate selection process. Mr. Priebus has already honed the ‘debate’ process. Mr. Cruz will have to sweep the openly elected delegates as the appointed, selected ones will go with anybody but Cruz.
The facts are the facts, the Republican Party is what is ‘ugly’.
TWB
52 posted on 01/19/2015 6:59:29 PM PST by TWhiteBear (Sarah Palin, the Flame of the North)
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To: TWhiteBear

If what you say is true, and I’m not saying it isn’t, I am sure that Ted Cruz, being the brilliant man that he is, is aware of it and has a plan to combat it.


68 posted on 01/19/2015 7:38:33 PM PST by Din Maker (New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez in 2016)
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To: TWhiteBear

It’s all rigged, but the Republican voters will never figure out they have been “had” again.


79 posted on 01/19/2015 8:35:38 PM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: TWhiteBear

Unfortunately you are correct.

But there is a new path of hope.

For the first time in my life I actually see a chance for an Independent to win the White House and I see Ted Cruz as having that shot to win by running as an Independent.

First, a few facts: Independents made up 24% of the Electorate in 2012 but by 2014 they comprised a stunning 42%! (Look it up).

Second, Independents are not squishy moderates, they are persons that are fed up and distrusting of both political parties.

Third, Conservatives make up the majority of Independents.

Ted can continue to wear the GOP label but run as an Independent.

Here’s how Ted wins as an Independent:

60% of the Independents or 24% of the Electorate.
95% of the Conservative GOP Base or 20% of the Electorate.
53% of the Latino vote or 4% of the Electorate.
98% of the Blue Collar Perot demographic or 3% of the Electorate.
90% OF THE Reagan democrats or 2% of the Electorate.

Total 53% of the Electorate.

A few remarks:

1. Latinos voted 40% for Ted Cruz in the general election for TX US Senator.
2. Latinos tend to vote for Latinos first, and Party second.
3. Anti-GOP/Cruz democrat voting Latinos will stay home if Executive Amnesty is stopped (because of democrat empty rhetoric and ineptness).
4. The Blue Collar Perot voter has been pinpointed as the demographic that sunk Romney in 2012. These are very stubborn voters who will stay home unless an independent true conservative leaning candidate emerges and convinces them they are the real deal (they saw Romney as a liar).
5. The Reagan democrats will vote for a perceived moderate democrat if that’s what’s on the ticket but will crossover to a strong Independent if there is that choice. Such a strong Independent can wear the GOP label but must be viewed as outside the GOP Establishment.

A few remarks on how Ted increases his margin of victory from 53% to 55%:
1. Pro-Israel American Jews will back Ted strongly. Although they are small as a percentage of the Electorate, they are a large in influence.
2. Some GOP moderates sensing a GOP Establishment loss will cross over and vote for a GOP Independent candidate. The moderates are largely groups that feed at the government trough and desire continuity and stability. Ted will attract many of these via his strong stance on defense and NASA.


100 posted on 01/20/2015 3:40:01 AM PST by Hostage (ARTICLE V)
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To: TWhiteBear

I think you are correct, even though I have not myself delved into the finer details.

As you noted, in recommendation;

Thank you for that. From prior FR mention I have encountered link to that sort of thing, but admit to my eyes having glazed over.

I should have gotten out the toothpicks -- to keep the 'ol eyelids wide open enough to rinse out the glaze -- keep reading -- then try and figure out just what was going on -- in the finer details of Priebus's machinations.

yeah..I hear you. And perhaps also ugly in the way which Romney got ugly/played kind of dirty with the rest of the Republicans who were seeking the nomination, but then went soft on Obama and the Democrats. Ugly.

103 posted on 01/20/2015 4:20:06 AM PST by BlueDragon ( Is it Islamophobic to oppose these beheadings?)
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