Cruz by a landslide in 2016!
Here’s how it plays out with respect to 100% of the electorate:
24% Republican base (26% of electorate)
4% Reagan Democrats, Perot Blue Collars (5% of electorate)
26% Independents (40% of electorate)
3% Latino (7% of electorate)
57% realistic estimate. The big news is the Independents. In 2012 they were 24% of the electorate; today 40% to 42%. Voters have left both GOP and Democrat parties in droves and have registered as Independents. Cruz carries them by 2/3’s.
Cruz also takes half of Latino vote (he won 40% in Texas and they are warming to him).
The wild card is the illegal vote which can be substantial and critical in battleground states. In the final analysis it will be about counting Electoral College Votes and the deployment of illegal database assets to the critical states for the EC votes.
Conceivable that Cruz could win the popular vote by a substantial margin yet lose the EC. In which case the Left will be grinning that it’s payback for Florida in 2000.
Important then is to stop Obama’s illegal Executive Amnesty implementation because it has the potential to add at least several million votes to democrat column.
Surprisingly a lot of those Ted-leaning “latino” voters stayed with the GOP this year too!
If he and the GOP can replicate those numbers nationally, it won’t even be a close election.