Mid-terms attract a more informed voter. They’re also more localized, making those elections harder to steal. 2010 vs. 2012 vs. 2014 is one example of that dynamic.
Presidential elections are an entirely different animal, unfortunately. The wall-to-wall coverage and celebrity activism attracts hordes of highly motivated lofo’s. And with all of the urban and campus fraud factories in play, states like Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Colorado are getting more difficult with each cycle. Pennsylvania and Virginia are already gone. We’re running out of battleground states we can actually win.
I don’t mean to sound defeatist. I’m just saying, don’t take Warren lightly. She’s going to play the history card, just like O did... and the media is going to collude with her campaign to put her in the best possible light (they’ve already started... she’s being portrayed as the Phoenix rising from the ashes of the Dems historic defeat).
She’s a very dangerous woman. It’s going to take a special kind of wicked to follow in O’s footsteps... and she’s absolutely a special kind of wicked. I truly believe she’s going to be their nominee.
With this, I agree, but as with all election cycles, it's way too early to pick winners.
I can't dispute your premise though, anything can happen with the low info voter.
I guess we'll stay tuned...