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To: A Cyrenian; abb; Abigail Adams; abigail2; AK_47_7.62x39; Aliska; aposiopetic; Aquamarine; ...

Good morning, and the adventure continues!  Futures traders see stocks +0.18% and metals at -0.10%, no major econ reports (not til Wed.), interesting news tho..


21 posted on 11/10/2014 3:58:51 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama
This is the biggest issue facing the GOP:
23 posted on 11/10/2014 4:43:27 AM PST by Wyatt's Torch
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To: expat_panama
Pete -- NG build last week was 92 BCF, well more than typical for first week of Nov. Notwithstanding, we've had an instant 40-cent rally since. This leads me to believe that the NYMEX boys are focused solely on the long-range weather forecast for a cold winter (in the NE, mainly, but nationwide generally -- the NE always controls the futures, regardless of whether its 75 in Cincinnati and 80 in Charlotte).

This rally looks very persistent, and will only ebb week-by-week when the extra-cold weather does not materialise. A January ratio-spread, long 1 600 call and short 4 or 5 700 calls, looks very attractive. Defend at 600 by buying 1 650 call, and (if!) at 650 by buying 1 675 call. I don't think defense will come into play, though; the trade only lasts for roughly 6 weeks. It'll take a hell of a cold snap to bump prices another buck.

Good trading, SAJ

24 posted on 11/10/2014 5:41:14 AM PST by SAJ
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