Ebola Infographic

Youtube ^ | 11/08/14

[Enlightened1]

Time Map of Ebola Spread And Future Estimates

[scouter]

That’s one interpretation. My interpretation is somewhat different. Having worked here for almost 30 years, and having been through these things before (e.g., swine flu, avian flu, hantavirus, etc.) they’re adjusting to the new reality and making sure they’ve got all their ducks lined up, just as they should. Just because they’re making adjustments doesn’t mean things would have gone badly without them. In the past there was no particular reason to ask if someone had travelled to Sierra Leone in the past 21 days. Now there is. They’re making the kinds of changes they should make based on the specifics of the current situation, rather than the generic kinds of preparations you make in the absence of a specific threat.

[palmer]

I’ve heard Hospitals, Police and Firemen have all been told to not report any new Ebola cases.

And when someone dies with bloody vomit and diarrhea they will just say indigestion?

[palmer]

Now I see your later post: malaria. We get thousands of those a year in the US. 99.9% of them fly in. The rest, just a handful, are spread from those cases. The problem is that Ebola is going to be just like that but with a much bigger impact and spread. With Duncan's case we were basically just lucky.

They will label malaria malaria as they always have, but it seems unlikely they will try to label ebola malaria since that would create major problems when it spreads.

[familyop]

Why did the charity behind that video leave out Liberia?

[PGalt]

Post/thread…Health/life BUMP!

[PGalt]

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2014
Ebola: The reality as Freetown and outskirts hit 1001 cases…

http://sandralako.blogspot.com

[Alamo-Girl]

Thanks for the ping!

[Smokin' Joe]

You’re Welcome, Alamo-Girl!

[cuban leaf]

Yes, but I’m talking about the people in the trenches. Not the people making rules.

[scouter]

Maybe they should be.

[scouter]

Maybe they should be taking it more seriously, that is.

[null and void]

If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.

Bring out your dead! The Dark Man cometh! Bring out your dead! The Dark Man cometh! Bring out your......

(Since all records of obama's past were lost in a tragic boating accident and fire, no one can be certain that the guy in the red circle isn't him...)

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

[franzpick]

Yesterday’s 11-9 reported new daily cases from Sierra Leone just reached an all-time high of 111, up from the 95 cases reported on 11-1 and the 110 new cases 11-6, bringing the SL 5 day moving average up from 66/day on 11-6 to yesterday’s new high 5 day average of 70 cases per day. The 10 day moving average has similarly reached a new high at 67/day up from the previous high of 63 new cases/day on 11-6.

Last reported daily new case totals from Liberia, Guinea and SL have also exceeded the previous 11-6 record of 190 new cases: SL 111 new cases 11-9, Guinea 67 new 11-7 and Liberia 50 new estimated cases, totaling 228 new daily cases in the most recently reported days. (If Guinea has misleadingly included their missing 11-5 and 11-6 cases in the 11-7 total, then the 3 country ‘last day’ total would be 184 new daily cases, which would be the 2nd highest daily 3 country total ever reported.)

Whether the 1 day 3-country totals are 228 or 184 cases, the EVD infection growth rate continues at an increase of between 1.4% and 1.7% cases per day, a rate that has declined only slightly over the past 3 months.

EVD appearing under control in Liberia, which has stopped regularly reporting reliable daily numbers, is an illusion. EVD running wild to new high daily numbers, averages and infection rates in Sierra Leone, is an alarming fact.

[DouglasKC]

One problem. In the last two weeks the new infection rate has plummeted.

Except it hasn't. It's still raging out of control in West Africa and though new infection rates have declined in some places, they've increased in others. And the actual numbers are STILL thought to be about 3 times higher then what is being reported or then can be counted.

The only thing different is that our Ebola "czar" is now shaping public perception. And that's working...apparently.

[mad_as_he$$]

My information is that the TOTAL number of new cases is down. Take it or leave it and believe in the big conspiracy.

[DouglasKC]

My information is that the TOTAL number of new cases is down. Take it or leave it and believe in the big conspiracy.

I'm sorry but that's just not factual. The total number of new cases is doing what it's been doing since the current outbreak started...it's doubling about every month.

[cuban leaf]

Maybe they should be taking it more seriously, that is.

---

That may be true, but it is not demonstrably so...yet. In fact, the opposite may be true.

[franzpick]

‘My information is that the TOTAL number of new cases is down’.

Daily new cases for the last 10 reported days for Sierra Leone are: 50,95,60,61,56,36,110,41,45,111 - making an all-time high new case 10 day daily average on 11-9 of 67 new daily cases/day.

Liberia and Guinea have stopped reporting regular daily cases, but Who weekly totals show that their average daily totals are approximating 50 Liberian cases/day and 30 Guinean cases/day: adding these 2 daily case totals to the 3 high Sierra Leone days (11-1 95 cases, 11-6 110 cases and 11-9 111 cases) reveals that new all-time high daily case 3-country totals between 184 and 190 new cases per day have been recorded 3 times in the last 8 days.

Unfounded assertions of decreasing daily numbers must be emanating from political operatives using an abundance of concoction.

[DouglasKC]

See post above also...

[scouter]

That may be true, but it is not demonstrably so...yet. In fact, the opposite may be true.

Let's hope you're right.