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To: Pollster1

Can someone please explain to me how 63%/35% in VA is “too close to call”?


514 posted on 11/04/2014 4:22:07 PM PST by ObozoMustGo2012
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To: ObozoMustGo2012

There’s only 1% in


516 posted on 11/04/2014 4:22:44 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: ObozoMustGo2012

Because the heavily Democratic counties around DC haven’t reported in yet.


518 posted on 11/04/2014 4:23:53 PM PST by Publius ("Who is John Galt?" by Billthedrill and Publius now available at Amazon.)
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To: ObozoMustGo2012

I just saw that, too. On Fox. Can’t figure it out. But, they have Mittens on now...so I don’t know what to think about Fox, sometimes.


519 posted on 11/04/2014 4:23:57 PM PST by Jane Long ("And when thou saidst, Seek ye my face; my heart said unto thee, Thy face, LORD, will I seek")
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To: ObozoMustGo2012

Only 1% of the votes are in yet. It’s a great start, but now Gillespie has to keep it up for the remaining 99%.


520 posted on 11/04/2014 4:24:00 PM PST by Cato in PA (Resist!)
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To: ObozoMustGo2012

Because it all depends on what precincts have been counted. There are R precincts and D precincts. You have to have a good sample of both to project based on historical voting patterns.


522 posted on 11/04/2014 4:24:33 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: ObozoMustGo2012
Depends on the counties that have reported their results.

Some counties are heavy red and other heavy blue.

Just hope the Dem counties are not the last to report in.

523 posted on 11/04/2014 4:24:59 PM PST by mware
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To: ObozoMustGo2012
Can someone please explain to me how 63%/35% in VA is “too close to call”?

That's easy. It's a small number of ballots in districts that lean GOP in every election. Wait until the numbers come in, especially when we see how many ballots were stuffed in Richmond and parts of NoVa.

524 posted on 11/04/2014 4:24:59 PM PST by Pollster1 ("Shall not be infringed" is unambiguous.)
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To: ObozoMustGo2012
Can someone please explain to me how 63%/35% in VA is “too close to call”?

Simple, not enough of the vote in. The rat areas report last, especially in the Norfolk area.

525 posted on 11/04/2014 4:25:22 PM PST by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: ObozoMustGo2012

BTW, historically urban areas are the last to report there vote totals so the R never has it won until all the counting is done. And even after that Dems somehow manage to find thousands and thousands of ballots in a trunk in some city.


530 posted on 11/04/2014 4:27:36 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: ObozoMustGo2012

Easy. VA is about as easy to poll as Alaska. Meaning virtually impossible. Plus the pollsters are stupid and always rely on flawed models and urban areas to predict the unpredictable.

The culture in VA is very consensus based. Things change ona dime and when they do, they do so dramatically.


545 posted on 11/04/2014 4:31:32 PM PST by RKBA Democrat (Truth does not depend on a majority vote)
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