Make a couple of assumptions:
1. Kentucky holds as expected.
2. We lose Kansas. We might not but it is looking likely.
That means we need 7 pickups minimum.
3. We get pickups in Montana, Wyoming and West Virginia. Those are in the bag.
That leaves 4 more pickups that we must have from the following:
4. Arkansas looks in the bag. Iowa looking very good.
That leaves two to go.
5. Colorado looks pretty likely.
That leaves 1 to go from:
Alaska
Louisiana
Georgia
North Carolina
Best bets here are Louisiana and Alaska
If we get those and Georgia we are going to sleep well Tuesday night.
If we get North Carolina as well we will be up all night celebrating.
And New Hampshire? I don’t think so but that would call for champagne.
I was in Mass last week and got to hear Howie Carr and Scott Brown call in, they sounded Optimistic.
Listen to Howie on WRKO on the Web outa Boston 3 to 6 Monday if you want a greater feel for that race, I am sure he will be all over it and he and his callers in the last hr are a freakin' riot...
All 4 would not surprise me at all.