[xjcsa]

Early voting should be aligned with the general polling, 15 points is a large discrepancy - unless all the other polls are wrong. If non early voting isn’t statistically inline with early voting, something is fraudulent.

This is simply not true in Iowa. The stereotype is that Democrats vote early; Republicans vote on Election Day, and there's a lot of truth to it. A 15% lead for the Democrat is not at all unusual in a close race; if anything it's a little on the small side.

I have managed state legislative campaigns in Iowa that have won the Election Day vote by 10 points and still narrowly lost (and sometimes narrowly won).

[fuzzylogic]

” The stereotype is that Democrats vote early; Republicans vote on Election Day, and there’s a lot of truth to it.”

That’s my point. How do you know the votes are sent in by the registered person? This is *why* Democrats are seen to vote early...it is a means of fraud. So you had to catch-up on election day, maybe you shouldn’t have lost ever? The voting on voting day was much toward republican, if not for these unseen/unverified early voters you’d have won. Yet there’s no way to verify the actual early voters.